Why I've Changed My Mind On LyondellBasell's Dividend

LyondellBasell faces significant industry headwinds, with declining revenues, margins, and cash flow, but retains a cost advantage from U.S.-based production. LYB's dividend yield is exceptionally high at 9.82%, but current payout exceeds cash flow, raising concerns about sustainability amid rising debt and new credit restrictions. Despite the risk of a dividend cut, LYB remains better positioned than peers to rebound, especially if it reallocates capital to strengthen its balance sheet and margins.